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Red217
3402109.1
3229134.5
5160141.3
Blue426
4829105.9
3796105.7
2642204.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703020100200400500600700217426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.31.7
137.8139.5
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
blue by 63.5
204.82.8
178.8181.6
Auto22.0
Teleop149.6
End35.3
Second
3229
#13
134.50.2
138.4138.1
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End16.8
red by 28.6
4829
#21
105.91.0
104.8103.8
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End9.4
Third
3402
#35
109.13.1
117.7114.7
Auto13.5
Teleop90.7
End5.9
red by 3.4
3796
#15
105.70.6
103.6103.0
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed