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Red179
656599.1
689999.4
3506136.2
Blue327
5544123.0
2655171.5
3661101.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1843080100400500179327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
136.21.4
127.0125.7
Auto15.4
Teleop106.7
End14.5
blue by 35.3
171.50.1
168.9168.9
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
Second
6899
#26
99.41.9
104.7102.8
Auto12.1
Teleop83.4
End1.9
blue by 23.6
5544
#19
123.02.2
125.2123.0
Auto18.5
Teleop97.4
End10.7
Third
6565
#22
99.10.3
97.897.5
Auto14.6
Teleop77.1
End8.1
blue by 2.6
3661
#32
101.70.3
102.2102.5
Auto13.0
Teleop78.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed