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Red431
2642204.8
2682155.0
6003118.0
Blue177
333699.2
3196119.4
5160141.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4202100100300500600700431177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.83.7
188.7192.4
Auto22.0
Teleop149.6
End35.3
red by 63.5
141.31.5
140.0141.4
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
Second
155.02.1
146.3148.4
Auto16.0
Teleop114.4
End22.0
red by 35.6
3196
#16
119.43.2
132.0128.8
Auto14.9
Teleop97.5
End4.5
Third
6003
#31
118.00.1
116.7116.8
Auto14.4
Teleop88.8
End14.9
red by 18.8
3336
#34
99.20.7
102.0101.2
Auto16.1
Teleop77.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed