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Red20
6004117.6
3796105.7
727086.7
Blue431
2059177.8
3459144.4
6500131.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158377010020030050060070020431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#29
117.61.0
116.9117.9
Auto14.2
Teleop83.1
End24.1
blue by 60.2
177.81.7
166.5168.3
Auto18.7
Teleop145.8
End14.9
Second
3796
#15
105.71.1
103.9105.0
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
blue by 38.7
144.40.0
139.9139.8
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End16.1
Third
7270
#36
86.70.2
88.388.2
Auto13.3
Teleop69.9
End1.3
blue by 44.4
6500
#17
131.01.4
131.7130.3
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed