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Red315
726590.4
5518120.9
6908120.3
Blue308
621487.3
2655171.5
6894112.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392840100200400500315308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5518
#10
120.90.3
120.4120.0
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End10.1
blue by 50.6
171.50.7
169.4170.0
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
Second
120.33.1
112.9116.0
Auto12.7
Teleop98.2
End9.0
red by 8.0
6894
#20
112.30.7
109.9110.5
Auto10.7
Teleop90.9
End11.6
Third
7265
#30
90.40.1
89.789.8
Auto13.3
Teleop71.9
End7.3
red by 3.2
6214
#37
87.30.1
86.886.9
Auto14.1
Teleop69.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed