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Red359
5160141.3
3796105.7
6500131.0
Blue311
656599.1
7029101.7
4795162.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912420100200400500359311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.30.3
141.3141.0
Auto16.8
Teleop108.3
End18.2
blue by 21.0
162.31.8
158.2160.0
Auto23.3
Teleop119.1
End19.6
Second
6500
#17
131.00.3
130.1130.5
Auto16.0
Teleop101.2
End14.9
red by 29.3
7029
#23
101.70.5
102.2101.7
Auto18.3
Teleop81.3
End3.9
Third
3796
#15
105.70.2
105.0105.1
Auto16.5
Teleop83.1
End7.2
red by 6.6
6565
#22
99.10.7
97.798.5
Auto14.6
Teleop77.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed