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Red255
2655171.5
6729116.5
4290140.1
Blue369
2642204.8
4935135.6
6894112.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292360200400500600255369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.50.8
170.0170.9
Auto20.0
Teleop131.7
End19.0
blue by 33.2
204.83.4
195.7199.1
Auto22.0
Teleop149.6
End35.3
Second
4290
#14
140.10.9
138.8139.8
Auto13.8
Teleop109.8
End16.5
red by 4.5
135.62.2
131.6133.8
Auto20.3
Teleop103.6
End10.5
Third
6729
#18
116.50.9
118.6117.7
Auto14.4
Teleop88.7
End12.9
red by 4.2
6894
#20
112.30.8
110.5111.3
Auto10.7
Teleop90.9
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed