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Red392
5190204.6
2059205.6
4829113.5
Blue321
2655183.5
3196159.5
6004112.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992680200600800392321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.60.1
205.5205.6
Auto26.1
Teleop167.3
End12.1
red by 22.1
183.50.2
183.0183.3
Auto24.9
Teleop141.6
End15.2
Second
204.60.1
204.8204.7
Auto23.8
Teleop157.3
End24.3
red by 45.1
159.50.6
158.3158.9
Auto18.6
Teleop122.3
End21.3
Third
4829
#18
113.50.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End9.8
red by 1.2
6004
#26
112.30.2
112.7112.5
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4