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Red419
5190204.6
2059205.6
4829113.5
Blue145
4290158.5
6894110.7
3737144.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042140100300500600419145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.60.2
205.8205.7
Auto26.1
Teleop167.3
End12.1
red by 47.1
4290
#24
158.50.9
160.2159.3
Auto20.3
Teleop121.3
End11.9
Second
204.60.4
205.9205.5
Auto23.8
Teleop157.3
End24.3
red by 59.8
3737
#16
144.80.3
145.4145.1
Auto21.0
Teleop100.1
End19.2
Third
4829
#18
113.50.3
114.2114.0
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End9.8
red by 2.8
6894
#15
110.70.2
110.4110.6
Auto14.7
Teleop85.6
End11.3