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Red311
2655183.5
3196159.5
6004112.3
Blue376
5679117.2
5511134.9
587126.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385235100300500600700800311376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.50.2
181.9182.1
Auto24.9
Teleop141.6
End15.2
red by 48.7
134.90.4
134.1134.5
Auto17.9
Teleop112.3
End5.6
Second
159.50.7
154.9155.6
Auto18.6
Teleop122.3
End21.3
red by 33.2
587
#19
126.30.2
126.6126.4
Auto19.3
Teleop92.1
End14.8
Third
6004
#26
112.30.4
114.2113.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4
blue by 4.9
5679
#14
117.20.0
117.3117.2
Auto17.5
Teleop88.3
End8.7