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Red231
6004112.3
576295.9
9999117.8
Blue304
3506135.1
1225129.7
5518112.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20932704006008001,0001,2001,4001,600231304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
#25
117.82.5
104.9107.4
Auto15.2
Teleop91.9
End10.6
blue by 17.3
3506
#20
135.11.4
140.7139.3
Auto16.6
Teleop110.6
End3.9
Second
6004
#26
112.30.3
118.4118.7
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4
blue by 17.4
1225
#11
129.70.5
127.6128.1
Auto16.2
Teleop97.3
End16.9
Third
5762
#30
95.90.1
99.499.5
Auto14.8
Teleop78.6
End0.2
blue by 16.1
5518
#27
112.01.1
119.9118.8
Auto16.7
Teleop86.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed