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Red231
5511134.9
4561179.0
3737144.8
Blue357
1102180.9
3506135.1
576295.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412720100200400500600231357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#13
179.01.0
185.9184.9
Auto19.0
Teleop141.0
End14.2
blue by 1.9
180.90.0
177.8177.9
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
Second
3737
#16
144.81.5
150.9149.4
Auto21.0
Teleop100.1
End19.2
red by 9.7
3506
#20
135.10.9
137.6136.7
Auto16.6
Teleop110.6
End3.9
Third
134.91.3
129.6130.9
Auto17.9
Teleop112.3
End5.6
red by 39.0
5762
#30
95.90.5
99.198.6
Auto14.8
Teleop78.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed