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Red233
5679117.2
2655183.5
5518112.0
Blue410
5511134.9
1102180.9
2640102.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543190100200400500600233410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.50.5
181.2181.7
Auto24.9
Teleop141.6
End15.2
red by 2.6
180.90.8
178.2179.0
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
Second
5679
#14
117.20.1
117.1117.2
Auto17.5
Teleop88.3
End8.7
blue by 17.6
134.91.0
132.7133.7
Auto17.9
Teleop112.3
End5.6
Third
5518
#27
112.01.7
113.7112.0
Auto16.7
Teleop86.5
End4.9
red by 9.8
2640
#17
102.20.1
101.6101.5
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed