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Red430
2059205.6
1102180.9
5190204.6
Blue202
3737144.8
4829113.5
1533192.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442280100300400500600700430202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.61.4
210.5209.1
Auto26.1
Teleop167.3
End12.1
red by 13.2
192.41.6
195.7194.1
Auto24.2
Teleop138.1
End28.4
Second
204.60.9
211.8210.9
Auto23.8
Teleop157.3
End24.3
red by 59.8
3737
#16
144.81.7
154.1152.4
Auto21.0
Teleop100.1
End19.2
Third
180.90.2
177.3177.6
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
red by 67.4
4829
#18
113.50.6
114.5115.1
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed56%Face the Boss oddsMissed