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Red413
1533192.4
1102180.9
2640102.2
Blue281
2655183.5
3196159.5
6004112.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652830200600800413281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.40.1
192.1192.2
Auto24.2
Teleop138.1
End28.4
red by 8.9
183.50.3
182.3182.6
Auto24.9
Teleop141.6
End15.2
Second
180.90.4
179.9180.2
Auto18.2
Teleop141.3
End19.7
red by 21.4
159.50.7
156.3157.0
Auto18.6
Teleop122.3
End21.3
Third
2640
#17
102.20.1
101.8101.9
Auto14.4
Teleop81.4
End6.1
blue by 10.1
6004
#26
112.30.3
113.4113.2
Auto15.4
Teleop79.3
End15.4