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Red386
3506145.1
6502157.3
3402110.3
Blue151
4829113.8
3737145.3
5607102.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422530100200300400500600700386151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.30.7
154.5155.2
Auto21.6
Teleop121.0
End16.5
red by 12.0
145.30.7
144.6145.3
Auto20.0
Teleop103.9
End25.1
Second
3506
#12
145.10.0
144.8144.8
Auto17.4
Teleop115.5
End12.2
red by 31.3
4829
#10
113.80.3
113.6113.8
Auto15.2
Teleop87.8
End12.2
Third
3402
#18
110.30.0
109.9109.9
Auto16.7
Teleop90.7
End4.3
red by 8.1
5607
#22
102.20.1
102.1102.2
Auto16.0
Teleop79.2
End9.2