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Red112
321588.5
7029110.3
6888107.6
Blue399
2655177.2
900140.8
6215118.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1733960100300500600700112399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7029
#16
110.30.2
101.7101.9
Auto18.5
Teleop82.6
End10.6
blue by 66.9
177.20.8
171.5172.3
Auto23.8
Teleop134.3
End21.8
Second
6888
#14
107.60.6
118.4117.8
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End-0.5
blue by 33.2
900
#15
140.81.9
139.6141.4
Auto15.6
Teleop104.5
End21.6
Third
3215
#27
88.51.3
99.998.6
Auto14.1
Teleop70.5
End4.0
blue by 30.2
118.71.8
103.4105.3
Auto17.3
Teleop89.1
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed