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Red263
6639108.8
3402110.3
4290150.8
Blue154
4291102.6
6894104.7
4829113.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285270150200250300350400263154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.80.1
140.3140.3
Auto17.8
Teleop116.1
End17.7
red by 37.0
4829
#10
113.80.1
107.4107.5
Auto15.2
Teleop87.8
End12.2
Second
3402
#18
110.30.2
109.4109.6
Auto16.7
Teleop90.7
End4.3
red by 5.6
6894
#28
104.70.7
113.4114.2
Auto13.2
Teleop82.6
End8.7
Third
6639
#23
108.81.9
122.0120.1
Auto16.4
Teleop81.6
End9.4
red by 6.2
4291
#25
102.61.2
111.7112.9
Auto18.9
Teleop76.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed