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Red103
321588.5
6639108.8
5679122.4
Blue289
576298.6
4829113.8
6888107.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752400100200300400500103289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5679
#29
122.41.0
126.0127.0
Auto17.8
Teleop88.4
End13.3
red by 8.6
4829
#10
113.80.7
107.5106.8
Auto15.2
Teleop87.8
End12.2
Second
6639
#23
108.81.4
120.1118.7
Auto16.4
Teleop81.6
End9.4
red by 1.2
6888
#14
107.61.5
116.4114.9
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End-0.5
Third
3215
#27
88.51.0
96.795.8
Auto14.1
Teleop70.5
End4.0
blue by 10.1
5762
#30
98.61.9
100.198.2
Auto16.5
Teleop79.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed