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Red371
3506145.1
4291102.6
5727108.1
Blue213
3737145.3
481684.1
5679122.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270274220240260280300320340360371213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
145.10.5
139.9140.3
Auto17.4
Teleop115.5
End12.2
blue by 0.2
145.32.6
128.2130.8
Auto20.0
Teleop103.9
End25.1
Second
5727
#19
108.11.4
108.7107.4
Auto14.7
Teleop78.7
End15.0
blue by 14.3
5679
#29
122.40.3
127.0127.3
Auto17.8
Teleop88.4
End13.3
Third
4291
#25
102.61.0
112.3111.3
Auto18.9
Teleop76.2
End6.7
red by 18.4
4816
#32DQ
84.10.5
83.684.0
Auto13.9
Teleop66.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed