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Red231
6639108.8
4534119.7
5607102.2
Blue211
5679122.4
5727108.1
7029110.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282284220240260300320340231211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.70.8
115.7116.5
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End11.3
blue by 2.7
5679
#29
122.40.3
127.9128.2
Auto17.8
Teleop88.4
End13.3
Second
6639
#23
108.81.4
114.1112.7
Auto16.4
Teleop81.6
End9.4
blue by 1.5
7029
#16
110.30.9
102.8103.7
Auto18.5
Teleop82.6
End10.6
Third
5607
#22
102.20.2
100.3100.1
Auto16.0
Teleop79.2
End9.2
blue by 5.9
5727
#19
108.10.2
107.2107.0
Auto14.7
Teleop78.7
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed