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Red260
6888107.6
3680109.0
900140.8
Blue259
5607102.2
576298.6
3737145.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102270100400500600260259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#15
140.81.6
147.6146.0
Auto15.6
Teleop104.5
End21.6
blue by 4.5
145.31.4
136.3137.6
Auto20.0
Teleop103.9
End25.1
Second
3680
#17
109.01.6
106.9108.4
Auto14.1
Teleop85.8
End7.9
red by 6.8
5607
#22
102.20.1
100.1100.2
Auto16.0
Teleop79.2
End9.2
Third
6888
#14
107.60.9
113.4112.5
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End-0.5
red by 9.0
5762
#30
98.60.4
98.097.6
Auto16.5
Teleop79.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed