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Red229
481684.1
6502157.3
321588.5
Blue173
3402110.3
6215118.7
5607102.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342820100200400500229173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.30.0
153.0153.0
Auto21.6
Teleop121.0
End16.5
red by 38.7
118.70.9
116.1117.0
Auto17.3
Teleop89.1
End15.8
Second
3215
#27
88.50.2
87.387.5
Auto14.1
Teleop70.5
End4.0
blue by 21.8
3402
#18
110.30.4
108.8109.2
Auto16.7
Teleop90.7
End4.3
Third
4816
#32
84.11.2
85.984.7
Auto13.9
Teleop66.5
End2.5
blue by 18.1
5607
#22
102.20.2
101.3101.6
Auto16.0
Teleop79.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed