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Red192
4795171.7
3402110.3
5727108.1
Blue438
3737145.3
2655177.2
2640107.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265351100200300400500600192438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.70.9
169.8170.7
Auto24.6
Teleop125.8
End20.9
blue by 5.5
177.20.8
176.3175.6
Auto23.8
Teleop134.3
End21.8
Second
3402
#18
110.30.3
109.7110.0
Auto16.7
Teleop90.7
End4.3
blue by 35.0
145.31.8
141.9143.8
Auto20.0
Teleop103.9
End25.1
Third
5727
#19
108.10.9
107.0107.8
Auto14.7
Teleop78.7
End15.0
red by 1.0
2640
#26
107.10.7
106.8106.1
Auto13.1
Teleop86.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed