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Red181
5160136.8
6888107.6
6932118.4
Blue389
6502157.3
1225125.9
6894104.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263300100200400181389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
136.80.2
137.4137.2
Auto17.4
Teleop103.7
End17.0
blue by 20.5
157.30.9
153.0153.9
Auto21.6
Teleop121.0
End16.5
Second
6932
#13
118.40.3
119.1118.8
Auto14.3
Teleop89.6
End12.2
blue by 7.5
1225
#11
125.91.0
123.6124.6
Auto14.8
Teleop95.9
End19.8
Third
6888
#14
107.60.2
108.2108.0
Auto15.4
Teleop89.8
End-0.5
red by 2.9
6894
#28
104.71.0
105.7104.7
Auto13.2
Teleop82.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed