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Red251
3506145.1
4795171.7
6215118.7
Blue193
2640107.1
1225125.9
3680109.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3761770100300500600700251193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.70.9
163.6164.5
Auto24.6
Teleop125.8
End20.9
red by 45.8
1225
#11
125.90.5
121.2121.7
Auto14.8
Teleop95.9
End19.8
Second
3506
#12
145.11.2
138.1139.3
Auto17.4
Teleop115.5
End12.2
red by 36.1
3680
#17
109.00.7
102.2102.9
Auto14.1
Teleop85.8
End7.9
Third
118.71.8
105.3107.1
Auto17.3
Teleop89.1
End15.8
red by 11.6
2640
#26
107.10.9
105.6106.4
Auto13.1
Teleop86.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed