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Red336
4539175.8
5172187.5
6175127.6
Blue314
3750164.0
525178.1
5638120.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378356200250300400450500550600336314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.50.7
186.2186.9
Auto24.2
Teleop123.7
End42.8
red by 9.4
525
#2
178.10.8
176.6177.4
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
Second
175.80.9
174.1175.0
Auto23.6
Teleop127.9
End25.5
red by 11.8
164.00.9
162.3163.2
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
Third
6175
#27
127.60.5
126.5127.1
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
red by 7.5
5638
#24
120.10.1
119.9120.1
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2