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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Great Northern Regional
Red263
2883148.5
876172.0
4360127.2
Blue397
7048130.8
2491146.6
4818131.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358287100200400500600263397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#6
172.00.7
171.3→172.0
Auto23.2
Teleop125.9
End24.5
red by 25.5
2491
#7
146.60.3
145.6→145.9
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
Second
2883
#12
148.50.1
148.5→148.5
Auto16.4
Teleop115.1
End17.1
red by 16.6
4818
#19
131.90.8
129.6→130.3
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
Third
4360
#30
127.20.1
127.3→127.2
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End20.3
blue by 3.6
7048
#14
130.80.6
129.0→129.6
Auto19.0
Teleop100.5
End10.9