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Qual 192018 Great Northern Regional
Red359
6453121.7
525178.1
4239130.7
Blue165
3292112.8
3277126.7
4198140.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942570100200400500600359165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
178.15.8
127.0→132.9
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
red by 37.9
4198
#18
140.39.5
106.2→115.7
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4
Second
4239
#13
130.75.1
94.2→99.3
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End15.9
red by 4.0
3277
#21
126.70.7
115.4→116.1
Auto14.8
Teleop101.7
End10.5
Third
6453
#41Sur
121.75.3
110.1→115.5
Auto14.3
Teleop90.9
End14.5
red by 8.9
3292
#40
112.86.1
92.7→98.8
Auto15.1
Teleop89.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed