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Red241
2220130.7
2823130.6
3313142.4
Blue240
525178.1
1792133.8
877106.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773010100200400500600700241240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.415.9
75.691.4
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
blue by 35.8
525
#2
178.112.4
107.8120.2
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
Second
2220
#20
130.716.1
73.789.8
Auto19.6
Teleop99.4
End12.5
blue by 3.1
1792
#26
133.815.5
79.394.8
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End8.8
Third
2823
#16
130.614.6
87.3101.9
Auto23.4
Teleop93.4
End10.2
red by 24.0
877
#45
106.616.7
68.084.7
Auto12.0
Teleop83.0
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed