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Qual 242018 Great Northern Regional
Red203
313498.9
4239130.7
3300116.1
Blue167
3130153.7
6047117.3
7235100.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472960100200400500203167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4239
#13
130.75.8
99.3→105.2
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End15.9
blue by 23.0
3130
#9
153.76.0
137.2→143.1
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Second
3300
#25
116.19.0
91.6→100.6
Auto17.7
Teleop89.6
End9.9
blue by 1.2
6047
#17
117.310.4
89.2→99.6
Auto15.0
Teleop84.7
End20.5
Third
3134
#28
98.90.7
106.6→107.4
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End9.0
blue by 1.3
7235
#42
100.22.3
94.3→96.6
Auto14.0
Teleop77.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed