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Red244
4674123.1
4818131.9
6453121.7
Blue418
2491146.6
4360127.2
876172.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803000100200400500600244418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4818
#19
131.92.1
108.5110.5
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
blue by 40.1
876
#6
172.05.5
135.2140.7
Auto23.2
Teleop125.9
End24.5
Second
4674
#44
123.17.9
106.0113.9
Auto15.9
Teleop91.8
End13.9
blue by 23.5
146.67.0
116.4123.4
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
Third
6453
#41
121.76.1
115.5121.6
Auto14.3
Teleop90.9
End14.5
blue by 5.5
4360
#30
127.27.5
85.392.8
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed