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Qual 312018 Great Northern Regional
Red288
4009142.5
1986146.5
3367102.0
Blue305
4181136.2
877106.6
3313142.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522320100200300400500600288305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#46
146.50.4
156.3→156.7
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
red by 4.2
3313
#8
142.46.6
108.8→115.4
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
Second
4009
#10
142.57.4
119.0→126.5
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End16.9
red by 6.2
4181
#11
136.24.6
104.1→108.7
Auto19.4
Teleop98.3
End20.3
Third
3367
#47
102.05.8
103.2→109.0
Auto18.1
Teleop74.2
End7.3
blue by 4.7
877
#45
106.64.4
98.3→102.7
Auto12.0
Teleop83.0
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned