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Red448
3754104.7
2823130.6
4181136.2
Blue195
6175127.6
877106.6
5638120.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283281200250300350400448195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#11
136.25.9
108.7114.6
Auto19.4
Teleop98.3
End20.3
red by 8.7
6175
#27
127.60.8
114.5115.3
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
Second
2823
#16
130.60.9
119.5120.4
Auto23.4
Teleop93.4
End10.2
red by 10.5
5638
#24
120.13.3
113.7117.0
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2
Third
3754
#34
104.72.0
113.9116.0
Auto15.4
Teleop80.1
End6.7
blue by 1.9
877
#45
106.65.8
102.7108.5
Auto12.0
Teleop83.0
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed