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Red199
1986146.5
3300116.1
4360127.2
Blue366
2883148.5
5658137.6
3277126.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2642900100200400500199366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#46
146.51.3
156.7155.3
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
blue by 1.9
2883
#12
148.55.5
126.9132.4
Auto16.4
Teleop115.1
End17.1
Second
4360
#30
127.27.5
92.8100.3
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End20.3
blue by 10.4
5658
#22
137.65.5
111.2116.8
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End21.9
Third
3300
#25
116.16.0
105.7111.6
Auto17.7
Teleop89.6
End9.9
blue by 10.6
3277
#21
126.72.2
114.5116.7
Auto14.8
Teleop101.7
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed