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Red232
3313142.4
6056108.0
313498.9
Blue208
592999.8
3883129.8
4198140.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269275150200250300350400232208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.47.1
115.4122.5
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
red by 2.1
4198
#18
140.33.6
120.0123.6
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4
Second
6056
#29
108.00.2
110.3110.1
Auto19.1
Teleop81.3
End7.6
blue by 21.8
3883
#23
129.80.1
123.6123.5
Auto17.8
Teleop95.3
End12.3
Third
3134
#28
98.90.4
107.4106.9
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End9.0
blue by 0.9
5929
#37
99.81.3
105.4106.7
Auto16.9
Teleop74.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed