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Red126
2538104.0
4360127.2
4818131.9
Blue227
5576151.9
4009142.5
7257116.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413090100200400500126227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4818
#19
131.915.4
80.495.7
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
blue by 20.0
151.914.1
91.7105.8
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
Second
4360
#30
127.219.0
48.667.6
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End20.3
blue by 15.2
4009
#10
142.514.3
90.2104.5
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End16.9
Third
2538
#39
104.017.4
62.079.4
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End9.5
blue by 12.6
7257
#33
116.538.8
116.577.7
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed