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Red375
525178.1
2823130.6
5172187.5
Blue354
6453121.7
4539175.8
4181136.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380294100200500600375354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.54.3
162.6166.9
Auto24.2
Teleop123.7
End42.8
red by 11.7
175.84.4
149.6154.0
Auto23.6
Teleop127.9
End25.5
Second
525
#2
178.15.8
151.4157.2
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
red by 41.9
4181
#11
136.21.9
121.2123.1
Auto19.4
Teleop98.3
End20.3
Third
2823
#16
130.64.0
123.7127.7
Auto23.4
Teleop93.4
End10.2
red by 8.9
6453
#41
121.73.0
125.5128.5
Auto14.3
Teleop90.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsEarned