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Red282
2500124.0
2491146.6
5638120.1
Blue279
1986146.5
4198140.3
3102121.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573440100200300400500600282279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.615.1
82.998.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
Level
1986
#46
146.59.3
139.3148.5
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
Second
2500
#38
124.015.9
75.291.1
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End10.7
blue by 16.2
4198
#18
140.315.2
81.496.6
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4
Third
5638
#24
120.115.2
82.097.1
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2
blue by 1.0
3102
#36
121.114.6
87.4102.0
Auto18.4
Teleop88.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed