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Red120
592999.8
3007123.6
4009142.5
Blue483
4239130.7
5172187.5
3750164.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241396100200300500600120483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#10
142.55.4
139.4144.8
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End16.9
blue by 45.1
187.53.4
166.9170.3
Auto24.2
Teleop123.7
End42.8
Second
3007
#31
123.63.7
122.0125.7
Auto20.1
Teleop97.3
End7.2
blue by 40.5
164.07.2
135.5142.7
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
Third
5929
#37
99.82.8
107.6104.8
Auto16.9
Teleop74.8
End5.1
blue by 30.9
4239
#13
130.75.1
115.1120.2
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsEarned