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Red241
1986146.5
3750164.0
3007123.6
Blue324
7048130.8
5576151.9
2823130.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345294100200400500241324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.06.6
142.7149.3
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
red by 12.2
151.94.8
136.3141.1
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
Second
1986
#46
146.50.3
152.7152.4
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
red by 15.7
7048
#14
130.83.2
121.7124.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.5
End10.9
Third
3007
#31
123.60.4
125.7126.1
Auto20.1
Teleop97.3
End7.2
blue by 7.1
2823
#16
130.60.1
130.9130.8
Auto23.4
Teleop93.4
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed