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Qual 682018 Great Northern Regional
Red357
4539175.8
592999.8
2538104.0
Blue140
4674123.1
3130153.7
3292112.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266322100200300400500357140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#4
175.83.3
158.7→162.0
Auto23.6
Teleop127.9
End25.5
red by 22.1
3130
#9
153.70.5
154.9→155.4
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Second
2538
#39
104.00.6
104.2→103.6
Auto15.7
Teleop77.4
End9.5
blue by 19.1
4674
#44
123.10.7
128.3→127.6
Auto15.9
Teleop91.8
End13.9
Third
5929
#37
99.83.5
104.8→101.2
Auto16.9
Teleop74.8
End5.1
blue by 13.0
3292
#40
112.82.4
113.1→115.5
Auto15.1
Teleop89.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed