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Red170
2500124.0
6175127.6
4360127.2
Blue392
3750164.0
313498.9
3130153.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603290100200400500600700170392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#27
127.62.3
120.7123.0
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
blue by 36.5
164.03.2
149.3152.5
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
Second
4360
#30
127.22.8
123.3126.0
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End20.3
blue by 26.5
153.72.2
155.4153.2
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Third
2500
#38
124.01.0
127.6126.6
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End10.7
red by 25.1
3134
#28
98.91.4
99.798.4
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed