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Red328
5638120.1
525178.1
3367102.0
Blue184
3007123.6
3883129.8
1792133.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285313100200400500328184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
178.13.4
165.3168.7
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
red by 44.4
1792
#26
133.82.6
130.9133.6
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End8.8
Second
5638
#24
120.10.8
119.9119.1
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2
blue by 9.7
3883
#23
129.81.6
128.7130.3
Auto17.8
Teleop95.3
End12.3
Third
3367
#47
102.03.4
107.7104.3
Auto18.1
Teleop74.2
End7.3
blue by 21.6
3007
#31
123.60.6
126.1125.5
Auto20.1
Teleop97.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed