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Red250
2823130.6
6047117.3
4009142.5
Blue218
4674123.1
3298105.6
6056108.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742080100300500600250218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#10
142.51.2
146.3145.0
Auto19.8
Teleop103.5
End16.9
red by 19.4
4674
#44
123.12.9
127.6124.7
Auto15.9
Teleop91.8
End13.9
Second
2823
#16
130.60.8
130.8131.6
Auto23.4
Teleop93.4
End10.2
red by 22.6
6056
#29
108.00.1
107.4107.5
Auto19.1
Teleop81.3
End7.6
Third
6047
#17
117.31.2
115.8117.0
Auto15.0
Teleop84.7
End20.5
red by 11.8
3298
#43
105.61.4
102.9104.3
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed