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Qual 792018 Great Northern Regional
Red229
3300116.1
2531119.4
6453121.7
Blue490
7048130.8
6175127.6
3313142.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513440100200300400500600229490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6453
#41
121.75.2
126.9→121.7
Auto14.3
Teleop90.9
End14.5
blue by 20.7
3313
#8
142.41.5
143.8→142.2
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
Second
2531
#32
119.40.6
118.8→119.4
Auto15.9
Teleop86.3
End20.8
blue by 11.4
7048
#14
130.80.4
128.0→128.4
Auto19.0
Teleop100.5
End10.9
Third
3300
#25
116.10.4
116.5→116.1
Auto17.7
Teleop89.6
End9.9
blue by 11.4
6175
#27
127.61.0
123.0→124.1
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed