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Red178
6056108.0
3292112.8
2883148.5
Blue295
3750164.0
4181136.2
2472130.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280286100150200250350400450178295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#12
148.513.3
99.3112.6
Auto16.4
Teleop115.1
End17.1
blue by 15.6
164.015.2
81.396.6
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
Second
3292
#40
112.812.3
80.492.7
Auto15.1
Teleop89.3
End2.3
blue by 23.4
4181
#11
136.216.3
71.587.8
Auto19.4
Teleop98.3
End20.3
Third
6056
#29
108.016.5
70.186.6
Auto19.1
Teleop81.3
End7.6
blue by 22.7
2472
#15
130.715.7
77.092.7
Auto19.0
Teleop102.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed