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Red306
5172187.5
7257116.5
2500124.0
Blue312
3130153.7
3298105.6
5638120.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382253100200300500600700306312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.54.1
178.8182.9
Auto24.2
Teleop123.7
End42.8
red by 33.8
153.70.1
153.2153.3
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
Second
2500
#38
124.01.3
126.6125.3
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End10.7
red by 4.0
5638
#24
120.10.2
119.1119.3
Auto13.6
Teleop92.1
End13.2
Third
7257
#33
116.51.9
113.7115.6
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End16.8
red by 11.0
3298
#43
105.61.3
104.3105.6
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed