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Semifinal 1-12018 Great Northern Regional
Red430
4539175.8
5172187.5
6175127.6
Blue225
7048130.8
2491146.6
4818131.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410287100200500600700430225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
187.50.8
184.5→185.4
Auto24.2
Teleop123.7
End42.8
red by 41.0
2491
#7
146.60.4
145.9→146.2
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
Second
4539
#4
175.81.0
172.1→173.1
Auto23.6
Teleop127.9
End25.5
red by 44.0
4818
#19
131.90.8
130.3→131.2
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
Third
6175
#27
127.60.6
125.3→125.9
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
blue by 3.2
7048
#14
130.80.7
129.6→130.2
Auto19.0
Teleop100.5
End10.9