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Red399
4539175.8
5172187.5
6175127.6
Blue312
7048130.8
2491146.6
4818131.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414283100200500600399312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.50.8
185.4186.2
Auto24.2
Teleop123.7
End42.8
red by 41.0
146.60.3
146.2146.6
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
Second
175.81.0
173.1174.1
Auto23.6
Teleop127.9
End25.5
red by 44.0
4818
#19
131.90.7
131.2131.9
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
Third
6175
#27
127.60.6
125.9126.5
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
blue by 3.2
7048
#14
130.80.6
130.2130.8
Auto19.0
Teleop100.5
End10.9